Merthyr Town vs St Ives Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2018 |
MER
3 - 1
DUN
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 1
MER
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
MER
0 - 3
WEY
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
SLO
3 - 2
MER
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
MER
2 - 4
KET
20%
20%
60%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
St Ives Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
BIS
4 - 3
STI
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
CHE
4 - 0
STI
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
TIV
2 - 3
STI
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
STI
1 - 1
STN
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
KIN
0 - 3
STI
54%
22%
24%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +2 |