Merthyr Town vs Salisbury City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
53.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
MER
3 - 1
TAU
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 0
MER
52%
21%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
FRO
2 - 3
MER
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MER
1 - 0
CHE
53%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
HAR
3 - 0
MER
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Salisbury City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
FRO
86%
9%
5%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
POO
2 - 2
SAL
26%
23%
52%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SWI
2 - 2
SAL
20%
21%
59%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 1
BEA
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
SAL
4 - 3
WIM
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | +1 |