Merthyr Town vs Paulton Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 0
MER
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PLY
0 - 2
MER
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
CHE
71%
16%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
CIR
1 - 0
MER
46%
24%
31%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
MER
5 - 1
HIT
66%
18%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 1
KET
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CIN
1 - 2
PAU
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BIG
4 - 1
PAU
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
PAU
0 - 0
BID
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KIN
0 - 0
PAU
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |