Merthyr Town vs Hitchin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POO
2 - 2
MER
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
MER
3 - 0
STR
68%
18%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
KET
3 - 2
MER
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 1
MER
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
KIN
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
HIT
3 - 1
SLO
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
HIT
2 - 0
KIN
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CIR
0 - 0
HIT
60%
20%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
HIT
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HIT
2 - 3
STR
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |