Merthyr Town vs Hartley Wintney analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MET
2 - 0
MER
73%
16%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MER
9 - 0
STA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
POO
3 - 1
MER
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
MER
1 - 7
DOR
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MER
1 - 1
HAR
33%
22%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hartley Wintney
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
HAR
0 - 3
WEY
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 1
HAR
42%
23%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
HEN
0 - 2
HAR
38%
23%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
HAR
3 - 0
HAR
39%
23%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
TAU
2 - 2
HAR
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |