Merthyr Town vs Gosport Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
MER
49%
22%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BAT
2 - 1
MER
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 5
MER
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MER
3 - 0
SHO
67%
18%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MER
3 - 2
CRI
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Gosport Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
GLO
0 - 2
GOS
43%
23%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 2
GLO
44%
23%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 0
TIV
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
4 - 0
ANS
70%
16%
14%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
GOS
24%
25%
51%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |