Merthyr Town vs Frome Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
12.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merthyr Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAR
0 - 1
MER
65%
17%
18%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MER
4 - 2
GOS
78%
14%
9%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 3
MER
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2018 |
MER
1 - 3
CAR
15%
19%
66%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Frome Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 4
BAS
20%
22%
58%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
HAR
2 - 1
FRO
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
TIV
3 - 1
FRO
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FRO
1 - 1
HEN
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
FRO
3 - 0
DUN
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |