Merstham vs Worthing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ENF
2 - 0
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 4
MER
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WHY
1 - 0
MER
31%
24%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
KIN
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 1
MER
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Worthing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
WOR
2 - 1
KIN
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
WOR
1 - 3
STA
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
STA
2 - 2
WOR
53%
23%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WOR
5 - 5
LEA
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
WOR
3 - 2
HAS
45%
23%
33%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |