Merstham vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
WHY
3 - 1
MER
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
TOO
1 - 3
MER
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
ENF
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
HEN
3 - 0
MER
75%
15%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
KIN
2 - 1
MER
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SEV
1 - 2
TON
26%
22%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
TON
0 - 2
WHY
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
TON
0 - 2
LEA
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
LOW
1 - 2
TON
31%
25%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TON
0 - 0
HAR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |