Merstham vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MER
5 - 0
HAR
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
COL
1 - 2
MER
25%
21%
55%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
COL
69%
16%
15%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
MER
6 - 1
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 4
MER
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 0
TON
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
TON
2 - 2
LEI
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
0 - 3
TON
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
YEL
0 - 1
TON
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
TON
7 - 0
ASC
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |