Merstham vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
BOG
2 - 0
MER
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 2
ENF
49%
24%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 0
MER
41%
23%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MER
5 - 1
THA
68%
18%
15%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MER
5 - 3
TON
35%
25%
40%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
WES
0 - 2
EBB
20%
24%
55%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
EBB
7 - 0
HAV
62%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
3 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EBB
5 - 0
YEL
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BIS
0 - 3
EBB
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |