Merstham vs Carshalton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
WIN
2 - 1
MER
77%
15%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 3
BOG
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
POT
2 - 0
MER
69%
19%
13%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MER
0 - 3
COR
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 0
MER
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 2
COR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
WOR
5 - 0
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 1
CAR
42%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 5
HOR
26%
24%
50%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |