Merstham vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
MER
5 - 1
HAR
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
MER
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 0
HAR
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 1
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
TON
0 - 1
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 2
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
KIN
2 - 3
BUR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BUR
0 - 3
LEA
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
6 - 0
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
POT
0 - 0
BUR
56%
22%
22%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |