Merstham vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
57%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CRA
3 - 1
MER
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 4
ENF
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -3 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 2
MER
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOW
1 - 1
MER
64%
19%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
24%
45%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
LEW
0 - 1
BOG
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 1
BOG
30%
23%
47%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ENF
2 - 0
BOG
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BOG
3 - 2
BRI
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOG
1 - 1
KIN
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |