Mersin vs Umraniyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
ELA
3 - 0
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 1
MER
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MER
1 - 4
BAL
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 1
MER
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Umraniyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
UMR
4 - 1
SIV
17%
24%
60%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
YEN
2 - 1
UMR
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UMR
1 - 1
ADA
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
AAF
1 - 1
UMR
30%
23%
47%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
UMR
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +2 |