Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-1
Mersin vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1983 |
MER
1 - 0
SAM
41%
31%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1983 |
MER
1 - 2
FEN
31%
34%
35%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 1983 |
SAR
3 - 0
MER
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1983 |
FEN
2 - 0
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
TRA
1 - 0
MER
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
SVA
1 - 2
SLI
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
CVA
0 - 2
SVA
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
SVA
1 - 1
SSO
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1983 |
BER
2 - 0
SVA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
SVA
2 - 1
CHB
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |