Mersin vs Karabükspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ORD
0 - 2
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 2
ANT
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
KAR
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
KON
2 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
MER
1 - 2
DAR
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Karabükspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 0
KAR
58%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 0
BUC
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORD
3 - 1
KAR
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
KAR
3 - 0
KAR
58%
24%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
KON
1 - 0
KAR
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |