Mersin vs Bucaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 0
MER
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 1
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
MER
2 - 2
RIZ
48%
24%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
KAS
37%
25%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
AYD
4 - 0
MER
12%
18%
69%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Bucaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BUC
1 - 0
MER
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
BUC
2 - 0
AYD
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BUC
0 - 2
KOR
42%
25%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
RIZ
4 - 1
BUC
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ANK
2 - 1
BUC
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |