Merrimack vs Fairleigh Dickinson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
18%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merrimack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
MMW
5 - 0
HBS
83%
11%
6%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SFU
0 - 1
MMW
22%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
FDK
0 - 0
MMW
38%
22%
41%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
MMW
1 - 1
LIU
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
CCU
2 - 1
MMW
33%
22%
46%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fairleigh Dickinson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
FDK
2 - 0
SFU
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FDK
1 - 1
SHP
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
FBT
2 - 1
FDK
70%
16%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
FDK
2 - 3
BBD
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
FDK
0 - 0
MMW
38%
22%
41%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |