Merrimack vs Central Connecticut analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merrimack
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
LIU
3 - 1
MMW
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FBT
6 - 3
MMW
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MMW
1 - 2
FDK
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
MMW
5 - 0
HBS
83%
11%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
SFU
0 - 1
MMW
22%
20%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Central Connecticut
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CCU
3 - 3
FDK
41%
23%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SFU
4 - 0
CCU
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CCU
3 - 0
HBS
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
MMM
1 - 4
CCU
21%
20%
58%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CCU
0 - 1
LIU
33%
23%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |