Merkuur vs Zenit Tallinn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merkuur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PIR
0 - 5
MER
12%
16%
72%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MER
7 - 0
TJK
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MER
5 - 3
LEV
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TDU
3 - 3
MER
29%
21%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
NAR
3 - 1
MER
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |