Mérignac-Arlac vs Stade Poitevin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LES
4 - 2
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAY
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
21%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Poitevin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
BAY
1 - 1
POI
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
POI
2 - 2
GDB
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NIO
1 - 4
POI
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SAG
2 - 1
POI
26%
24%
50%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
POI
1 - 3
NIO
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |