Mérignac-Arlac vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
27.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POI
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
LES
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BAY
2 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
NIO
1 - 1
MAR
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
GDB
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
COG
1 - 1
LES
46%
23%
31%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 3
COG
26%
21%
53%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
COG
2 - 2
MON
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
POI
1 - 2
COG
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LEG
2 - 0
COG
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |