Mérignac-Arlac vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 4
TAR
21%
21%
59%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FEY
0 - 0
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
FCL
1 - 3
MAR
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
GDB
19%
20%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
FCL
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
GDB
2 - 0
CHA
71%
17%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 4
FCP
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ANG
1 - 1
CHA
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
LES
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |