Mérignac-Arlac vs Bayonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
2 - 2
MAR
21%
21%
57%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIM
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 2
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
POI
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
AVI
2 - 2
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bayonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
GDB
2 - 0
BAY
54%
24%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 0
POI
66%
20%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
COZ
2 - 6
BAY
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
5 - 0
FEY
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
0 - 2
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |