Mérignac-Arlac vs Angouleme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SAG
0 - 2
MAR
14%
18%
68%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
4 - 1
NIO
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LEG
2 - 1
MAR
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
LES
1 - 0
MAR
59%
21%
21%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHA
46%
22%
32%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Angouleme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ANG
2 - 1
LES
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHA
1 - 0
ANG
30%
22%
48%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ANG
3 - 2
FCP
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BRE
2 - 2
ANG
38%
26%
37%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 0
LIM
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |