Clausura Ascenso MX Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Venados FC vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 4
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MER
2 - 1
GUE
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
VER
2 - 0
SAG
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 0
VER
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIG
0 - 3
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
TAM
75%
16%
10%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 1
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |