Venados FC vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MER
2 - 1
CAF
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MER
0 - 1
UAT
35%
27%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CIM
3 - 2
MER
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 0
TAM
56%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ZAC
2 - 0
UDG
57%
23%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
0 - 0
DOR
44%
26%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
4 - 0
CAÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
UDG
53%
26%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |