Venados FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
47.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MER
2 - 0
ALT
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 3
LOB
47%
25%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
LOB
3 - 1
MER
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 0
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
JAG
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |