Clausura Ascenso MX Final
Global 1-0
Venados FC vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 0
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MER
3 - 1
CAZ
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MER
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 4
MER
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
REB
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
TIJ
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LOB
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 3
TIJ
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TIJ
2 - 0
TEC
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |