Venados FC vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
PUM
0 - 0
MER
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
LOB
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
DUR
1 - 2
MER
36%
27%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
REB
2 - 1
DOR
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 1
REB
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
REB
1 - 1
ALT
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LEO
5 - 0
REB
70%
18%
11%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
REB
0 - 2
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -2 |