Venados FC vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 0
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
DUR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 2
MER
19%
26%
55%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
REB
2 - 0
ORI
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
UAT
3 - 1
REB
54%
25%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
REB
1 - 0
TIJ
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LEO
1 - 3
REB
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
REB
1 - 2
PUM
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |