Venados FC vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
UAT
1 - 1
MER
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MER
4 - 0
REB
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LEO
2 - 0
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MER
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 0
MER
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 4
TIJ
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
UAT
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
REB
2 - 0
ORI
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ORI
1 - 1
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
PUM
1 - 1
ORI
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |