Venados FC vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
12º
8º
21
3º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 6 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MER
4 - 1
DOR
57%
23%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MER
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
MER
5 - 1
TEM
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
MER
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
TOR
25%
28%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
ATL
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
ALE
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
CIM
3 - 2
MOR
31%
28%
42%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
TIA
2 - 3
MOR
21%
26%
52%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 0
CDT
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |