Venados FC vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAÑ
3 - 1
MER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
MER
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MER
1 - 5
UAT
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
3 - 2
MER
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
QRO
0 - 1
CHI
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
0 - 1
TIJ
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
MON
2 - 2
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 1
PUM
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |