Venados FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
TIJ
0 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
3 - 1
MER
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
MER
0 - 2
UAT
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
REB
2 - 2
MER
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MER
2 - 0
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 0
ORI
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 1
CAZ
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
3 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
LEO
5 - 1
CAZ
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |