Venados FC vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
5º
10º
6º
5
4º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 30 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 18 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
42% | 0% |
|
Final Series
|
47.5% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 93.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
2 - 1
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
ALE
1 - 0
MER
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 0
CFC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
MER
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
6 - 0
UAT
37%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 3
ALE
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DOR
3 - 1
UAT
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UDG
3 - 1
UAT
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UAT
1 - 1
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |