Clausura Ascenso MX Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Venados FC vs Correcaminos UAT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
5 - 1
MER
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MER
2 - 0
UAT
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
ORI
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Correcaminos UAT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 0
MER
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
UAT
2 - 1
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
UAT
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 2
UAT
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
UAT
4 - 2
DOR
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |