Venados FC vs CA La Paz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
6º
11º
8º
2
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 30 |
1º
|
52% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 28 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 25 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 24 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 22 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 21 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
3 | 18 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 17 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 17 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
2 | 16 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 14 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 13 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 11 |
14º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 9 |
15º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
56% | 29% |
|
Mid-table
|
44% | 71% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
MER
1 - 1
ATL
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 2
TAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
2 - 2
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
JUA
42%
23%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CA La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
0 - 3
COR
14%
17%
70%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 1
UAT
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
5 - 0
CAP
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
4 - 4
TIA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
TIG
7 - 1
CAP
81%
13%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |