Venados FC vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
JUA
4 - 0
MER
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
TEP
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
UAP
6 - 1
MER
38%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -4 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MER
5 - 1
LOB
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 2
MER
25%
29%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
CIM
0 - 1
ATL
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAÑ
1 - 1
CIM
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CIM
1 - 0
UAT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALE
0 - 1
CIM
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CIM
3 - 2
LOR
43%
26%
32%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |