Venados FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
DOR
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
AME
2 - 0
MER
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
MER
56%
24%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 0
MER
64%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
CAÑ
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
LEO
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAÑ
0 - 3
TOR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 0
UAT
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |