Venados FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
UAT
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
TOR
32%
29%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
MER
3 - 1
PUM
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
IRA
0 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UDG
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 2
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
TIJ
2 - 1
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAF
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |