Venados FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
UAT
1 - 1
MER
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
MER
0 - 0
PUE
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
MER
1 - 0
NEC
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PUE
3 - 1
MER
67%
20%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
IRA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
34%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |