Venados FC vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MER
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LOB
2 - 1
MER
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MER
2 - 1
UDG
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CIM
0 - 1
MER
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
51%
27%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PAC
1 - 2
CAZ
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |