Venados FC vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TEP
1 - 0
MER
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
ATL
42%
24%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MER
1 - 1
UAT
50%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAÑ
2 - 2
MER
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 0
MER
45%
25%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 0
ATL
42%
26%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
CAF
1 - 2
CAZ
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
NEC
1 - 0
CAF
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAF
0 - 1
ZAC
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
CAZ
5 - 2
CAF
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |