Venados FC vs Cafetaleros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
27.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
ATL
32%
27%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 0
MER
49%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
MER
0 - 2
UDG
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 2
MER
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
DEL
0 - 1
MER
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cafetaleros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
2 - 0
PUE
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAF
3 - 2
EST
26%
29%
45%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 2
CAF
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
PUE
2 - 2
CAF
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
CAF
1 - 3
NEC
32%
29%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |