Venados FC vs Atlante FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
5º
11º
7º
13
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
13 | 30 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 30 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 26 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 23 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 23 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 22 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 20 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 18 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 17 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 17 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 14 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 13 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 13 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 12 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 8 |
15º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
75.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 1
MER
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MER
1 - 2
TAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
2 - 2
MER
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MER
1 - 2
JUA
42%
23%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
TOR
4 - 1
MER
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Atlante FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MOR
0 - 2
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
5 - 0
CAP
70%
17%
13%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
3 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATL
0 - 1
PUM
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |