Mérida AD U19 vs Villafranca U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
27.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+247%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
3º
22
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 80 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 63 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 62 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
16º
|
48% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
73% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DBN
2 - 3
MER
47%
21%
32%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 2
UPP
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FDC
0 - 4
MER
36%
21%
43%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MER
1 - 1
CDB
12%
19%
69%
|
8 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NUM
4 - 4
MER
58%
21%
22%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPA
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LCV
3 - 3
VIL
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 3
CDP
67%
17%
15%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIL
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 1
VIL
37%
22%
40%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |