Mérida AD U19 vs Moralo CP U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
9º
4º
26
11º
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 79 |
1º
|
85% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 68 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 67 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
42 | 65 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 63 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 60 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 56 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 55 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 46 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 43 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 25 |
16º
|
49% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
94.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
EFE
0 - 6
MER
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MER
5 - 0
VIL
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DBN
2 - 3
MER
47%
21%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MER
4 - 2
UPP
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FDC
0 - 4
MER
36%
21%
43%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Moralo CP U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 1
CPA
19%
20%
61%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
LCV
7 - 0
MOR
73%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 6
CDP
61%
18%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 3
MOR
26%
21%
53%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 4
FLE
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |