Mérida AD U19 vs Cacereño U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+247%
+34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
1º
9º
3º
33
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 80 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 70 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
41 | 68 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 63 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 62 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 57 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 54 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 40 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 39 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 33 |
14º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 32 |
15º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 28 |
16º
|
48% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 21 |
17º
|
73% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 9 |
18º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ZAF
1 - 0
MER
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CPA
0 - 2
MER
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
MER
3 - 1
LCV
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
MER
47%
20%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MER
3 - 1
OLI
86%
10%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cacereño U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CAC
3 - 1
CPA
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
LCV
2 - 0
CAC
35%
23%
42%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAC
1 - 1
CDP
43%
21%
36%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 4
CAC
12%
18%
71%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
CAC
2 - 0
FLE
64%
19%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |